QB · NYJ · #7
He's 36 now, old enough that decline risk is real.
Traded from LV to NYJ (Mar 10, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
765
Range 764–765
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
69.7 pts
13.9 PPG
1084 pass yds · 6 pass TD · 43 rush yds
Week 6 projection
15.3 pts
@ NE · floor–ceiling 8.0–22.8
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Smith threw for 1,084 yards and 6 TDs in 2026, ranking QB20 through 5 games. He's 36 now, old enough that decline risk is real. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. Age makes this a fade risk in dynasty — win-now value only, don't pay a long-term price.
Half-PPR points
69.7
PPG
13.9
Rank so far
QB20
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/5 Boom 20%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB20so far | 69.7 | 13.9 | 1084 | 6 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB24 | 173.9 | 11.6 | 3025 | 19 | 109 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB14 | 266.0 | 15.6 | 4320 | 21 | 272 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB19 | 226.8 | 15.1 | 3624 | 20 | 155 | 1 | 1 | -2 | — |
| 2022 | QB5 | 303.9 | 17.9 | 4282 | 30 | 366 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB40 | 54.3 | 13.6 | 702 | 5 | 42 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB76 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 33 | — | -2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB71 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 8 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB53 | 9.7 | 4.9 | 212 | 1 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB55 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 126 | 1 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB51 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 265 | 2 | 34 | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | QB26 | 150.8 | 10.8 | 2525 | 13 | 238 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2013 | QB20 | 194.2 | 12.1 | 3046 | 12 | 366 | 6 | 1 | 13 | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 10.0 | CLE | 62 plays · 48% pass | 182 / 1 TD | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 8.8 | CHI | 29 plays · 52% pass | 119 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 26.0Boom | DET | 56 plays · 66% pass | 321 / 3 TD | 12 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 15.6 | GB | 68 plays · 60% pass | 247 / 1 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 9.3 | TEN | 63 plays · 38% pass | 215 | 7 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 14.0 · scored 10.0 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +4.0.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
96.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (39 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
24th of 38
10th of 38
1st of 38
29th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.