QB · CLE · #4
He ranks QB19 through 5 games, up from QB40. That's pace, not a finished season; 2024 also ended early (7 games).
Traded from HOU to CLE (Mar 18, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
79.1 pts
15.8 PPG
1010 pass yds · 7 pass TD · 167 rush yds
Week 6 projection
16.0 pts
vs BAL · floor–ceiling 9.2–24.5
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Availability ×0.88
Availability / legal history (analyst flag).
Watson threw for 1,010 yards and 7 TDs in 2026, ranking QB19 through 5 games. Through 5 games he sits QB19, up from QB40 — a climb, not a final rank. 2024 stopped at 7 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Deshaun Watson.
Half-PPR points
79.1
PPG
15.8
Rank so far
QB19
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/5 Boom 20%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB19so far | 79.1 | 15.8 | 1010 | 7 | 167 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB40 | 76.7 | 11.0 | 1148 | 5 | 148 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB36 | 86.8 | 14.5 | 1115 | 7 | 142 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB36 | 85.6 | 14.3 | 1102 | 7 | 175 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB5 | 369.3 | 23.1 | 4823 | 33 | 444 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB4 | 320.5 | 21.4 | 3852 | 26 | 413 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 2018 | QB4 | 331.7 | 20.7 | 4165 | 26 | 551 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB26 | 168.9 | 24.1 | 1699 | 19 | 269 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 12.2 | NYJ | 57 plays · 58% pass | 155 / 1 TD | 40 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 12.9 | PIT | 60 plays · 55% pass | 268 / 1 TD | 22 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 20.3Boom | CAR | 61 plays · 51% pass | 144 / 2 TD | 45 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 19.7 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | 238 / 2 TD | 22 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 14.0 | JAX | 44 plays · 50% pass | 205 / 1 TD | 38 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 14.4 · scored 12.2 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +2.2.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2024 offense · 88.9% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
85.4%
2024· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2024)
Durability
R1 (12 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
15th of 38
18th of 38
28th of 38
35th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.