QB · MIN · #1
2025 stopped at 5 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,299
Range 2,139–2,451
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
39.8 pts
10.0 PPG
662 pass yds · 2 pass TD · 93 rush yds
Week 6 projection
Bye
No game this week
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Murray threw for 662 yards and 2 TDs in 2026, ranking QB31 through 4 games. He ranks QB31 through 4 games, after QB38. The season isn't over. Played a short 2025 (5 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Kyler Murray.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 5
Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota are on bye in Week 6. Four adds with usage behind them, including a tight end who saw 13 targets and a Steelers receiver stepping into two absences.
Giants Trade for J.J. McCarthy. Here's What It Means for Dynasty.
The Giants traded a 2027 fifth-round pick for J.J. McCarthy. Here's his dynasty value, Jameis Winston's role, and what it means for Jaxson Dart.
Is Kyler Murray Still Startable After His Concussion?
Kyler Murray's Vikings debut lasted 18 pass yards before a concussion ended his day. He missed Week 2, started Week 3, and the dynasty case still sits on health.
Week 3 Injury Report: Three Young Quarterbacks Down
Week 3 injury report: Jaxson Dart is done for the regular season, Jayden Daniels is doubtful with the same elbow, and Caleb Williams is still week to week.
Dynasty Mailbag: Real Reader Trade Questions
Real dynasty trade and roster questions from readers, answered straight with NextDyne's live Dynasty Value Scores.
Is Marvin Harrison Jr. Still a Dynasty Buy, or Is the Bust Talk Real?
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s sophomore season was rougher than his rookie year, with real drop issues and a crowded target hierarchy. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value.
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
39.8
PPG
10.0
Rank so far
QB31
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/3 Boom 0%
0/3 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB31so far | 39.8 | 10.0 | 662 | 2 | 93 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB38 | 77.8 | 15.6 | 962 | 6 | 173 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB10 | 297.2 | 17.5 | 3851 | 21 | 572 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB26 | 146.4 | 18.3 | 1799 | 10 | 244 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB18 | 200.5 | 18.2 | 2368 | 14 | 418 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB10 | 300.5 | 21.5 | 3787 | 24 | 423 | 5 | — | 7 | — |
| 2020 | QB3 | 378.7 | 23.7 | 3971 | 26 | 819 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB8 | 285.3 | 17.8 | 3722 | 20 | 544 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 18.3 | NO | 66 plays · 46% pass | 229 / 1 TD | 51 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 11.5 | MIA | 68 plays · 54% pass | 247 | 16 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 10.4 | TB | 52 plays · 56% pass | 168 / 1 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | -0.4Bust | GB | 58 plays · 41% pass | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 16.1 · scored 18.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -2.2.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 98.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
20th of 38
33rd of 38
17th of 38
36th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.