QB · LAC · #10
Justin Herbert
- Height
- HT 6'6"
- Weight
- WT 237 lbs
- Birth date
- Mar 10, 1998 (age 28.6)
- College
- Oregon
Through 5 games the rank is QB25, off a QB10 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,971
Range 6,322–7,585
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
53.7 pts
10.7 PPG
937 pass yds · 5 pass TD · 142 rush yds
Week 6 projection
18.0 pts
@ KC · floor–ceiling 7.2–36.5
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchHerbert threw for 937 yards and 5 TDs in 2026, ranking QB25 through 5 games. From QB10 to QB25 through 5 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Justin Herbert.
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2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
53.7
PPG
10.7
Rank so far
QB25
Key stats
- Pass yds: 937 (QB22)
- Pass TD: 5 (QB24)
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB25so far | 53.7 | 10.7 | 937 | 5 | 142 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB10 | 286.9 | 17.9 | 3727 | 26 | 498 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB11 | 285.4 | 16.8 | 3870 | 23 | 306 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB17 | 233.7 | 18.0 | 3134 | 20 | 228 | 3 | 1 | 10 | — |
| 2022 | QB11 | 280.3 | 16.5 | 4739 | 25 | 147 | — | 2 | -10 | — |
| 2021 | QB2 | 380.8 | 22.4 | 5014 | 38 | 302 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB9 | 332.8 | 22.2 | 4336 | 31 | 234 | 5 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 10.2 | DEN | 58 plays · 41% pass | 121 / 1 TD | 54 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 9.6 | SEA | 64 plays · 50% pass | 189 / 1 TD | 40 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 12.7 | BUF | 62 plays · 55% pass | 226 / 1 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 7.9 | LV | 59 plays · 46% pass | 192 / 1 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 13.3 | ARI | 48 plays · 56% pass | 209 / 1 TD | 29 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 16.5 · scored 10.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +6.3.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- DEN-6% · 220 pass yards
- SEA-29% · 167 pass yards
- BUF+26% · 296 pass yards
- LV+8% · 253 pass yards
- ARI+8% · 252 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
97.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 29.8%
- On-target throw %
- 76.4%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202417 G
- 202516 G
- 20265 G
- 15.5 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.
R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.79s
- Aggressiveness
- 14.3%
- CPOE
- -3.6pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.3yd
16th of 38
17th of 38
32nd of 38
13th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Justin Herbert's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Herbert scores 6,971 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Justin Herbert's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 18.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Justin Herbert in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.